Remarks outlining the asserted threat from IraqArchived White House transcript ↗“The Iraqi regime has violated all of those obligations. It possesses and produces chemical and biological weapons. It is seeking nuclear weapons.”
← Presidential recordsSeparate presidential record
George W. Bush · January 20–April 29, 2001
The first 100 days.
Assessed day by day.
A completed calendar-day record of George W. Bush's opening presidency, connecting each date to the located Bush-participation transcripts and evidence-backed claim assessments. Every Bush-spoken paragraph in all 196 American Presidency Project records has been reviewed. These scores are published separately from Donald Trump's claims, tallies and PRIQ.
Across the full term
Memorable public quotes
Editorially selected for their public resonance and preserved with exact wording, date and context. Inclusion here is historical context, not a claim verdict.
Remarks to rescue workers at Ground ZeroArchived White House selected speeches ↗“I can hear you. The rest of the world hears you. And the people who knocked these buildings down will hear all of us soon.”
Address aboard the USS Abraham LincolnArchived White House transcript ↗“Major combat operations in Iraq have ended.”
Day 1 begins at noon on January 20, 2001; Day 100 is April 29, 2001. Only specific claims attributable to President George W. Bush receive verdicts. Staff remarks, written-only records, reporter questions, predictions, policy preferences and nonfactual rhetoric are excluded.
196 complete, 0 in progress and 0 pending out of 196 indexed Bush spoken records. Complete means every Bush-spoken paragraph was checked for quantitative, historical, biographical and event-specific attributable factual claims; a completed transcript may responsibly yield zero assessed claims.
How this day-by-day record works
Every date is visible.
The completed American Presidency Project inventory contains 196 distinct George W. Bush spoken records from inauguration through Day 100. Each calendar day appears below, including dates with no located Bush-participation spoken record.
Claims stay separate.
Supported findings remain beside False, Misleading and Unresolved ones. A blank claim count after completed review means no specific attributable factual claim was responsibly selected for assessment—not that no public activity or factual statement occurred. No Bush assessment is included in Donald Trump's YTD, Overall Claims, yearly tallies or PRIQ graph.
2001-01
January 20–31, 2001
Inauguration and the opening domestic-policy agenda. Every indexed Bush-spoken paragraph in the period has completed claim review.
12calendar days27spoken records
Transcript status: 27 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending.
Supported5False0Misleading2Unresolved1
3 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The peaceful transfer of authority was rare in history but common in the United States.
The United States had an established tradition of peaceful presidential succession. But 'rare in history' has no defined period, geography or comparison set, so the global half of the claim cannot be tested to a responsible binary conclusion.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
- Context
- Inaugural Address ↗
Evidence: National Archives history of presidential inaugurations
Supported
The United States was nearly 225 years old.
The address came 224 years and about six months after the Declaration of Independence was adopted, which supports the rounded statement.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
- Context
- Inaugural Address ↗
Evidence: National Archives transcript of the Declaration of Independence
Supported
John Page wrote to Thomas Jefferson after the Declaration of Independence and asked whether an angel rode in the whirlwind and directed the storm.
Founders Online reproduces Page's July 20, 1776 letter with that question. Bush modernized capitalization and punctuation but preserved the substance and attribution.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
- Context
- Inaugural Address ↗
Evidence: Founders Online: John Page to Thomas Jefferson, July 20, 1776
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
1 attributable claim assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
A prayer written by John Adams is inscribed on a White House mantel.
The inscription in the State Dining Room mantel derives from Adams's 1800 letter and asks that only honest and wise men rule under the roof.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: White House Historical Association: State Dining Room
2 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Misleading
Seventy percent of inner-city or high-poverty fourth-graders could not read at a basic level.
NAEP showed severe reading gaps, but 'inner-city,' poverty eligibility and the Basic achievement level are different classifications. Combining them into one national 70% figure overstates what the survey directly measured.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
Nearly 3 million crimes were committed against students or teachers at school each year.
Federal school-crime reports documented millions of student victimizations and substantial teacher victimization, but the combined annual total depends on mixing surveys, reference years and definitions. It was not a single directly measured statistic.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
1 attributable claim assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The reading proposal would add $5 billion over five years and roughly triple Federal reading spending.
The administration's education proposal and budget blueprint used that five-year amount and described a near-tripling from the prior baseline.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
1 attributable claim assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
U.S. energy consumption exceeded domestic production, with demand growing faster than supply.
EIA's historical totals show U.S. consumption exceeded domestic production throughout this period, supporting the described supply-demand gap.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: U.S. Energy Information Administration historical energy data
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
2001-02
February, 2001
Education, budget, tax, economic and Social Security claims have completed paragraph-by-paragraph review.
28calendar days47spoken records
Transcript status: 47 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending.
Supported35False1Misleading20Unresolved9
1 attributable claim assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The White House was among the first places in America to accommodate people with disabilities.
The White House had an accessibility ramp associated with Franklin D. Roosevelt and later accessibility improvements, but no authoritative nationwide ranking establishes that it was among America's first accessible places.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Archived White House account of the White House accessibility ramp
3 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
Unresolved
About 61 million Americans had at least $10,000 in consumer debt.
Federal Reserve surveys document substantial household debt, but the precise count depends on whether the unit is a person, family or household and which debts are included. The cited 61 million figure is not directly recoverable from the published 1998 survey tables.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
A family of four earning $50,000 would receive a $2,000, or 50%, Federal income-tax cut.
That result was possible under a selected fully phased-in administration example, but it depended on marital filing status, the children's ages, deductions and sufficient tax liability. It was not a universal outcome for every four-person family at that income.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
2 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Misleading
A typical family with two children would save $1,600 each year under the tax plan.
The $1,600 example required a married couple with two children and sufficient tax liability after full phase-in. Many families received less, making 'typical' too broad.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities tax analysis
Supported
The tax plan would lower the bottom individual income-tax rate from 15% to 10%.
The enacted 2001 law created a new 10% bracket for income previously taxed at 15%, confirming that feature of the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
3 attributable claims assessed
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The tax proposal would reduce the top individual income-tax rate from 39.6% to 33%.
Those were the statutory top rate and the administration's proposed fully phased-in top rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Supported
Every person who paid Federal income tax would receive some relief under the administration's tax proposal.
The proposal reduced each statutory individual income-tax rate and expanded credits, so filers with positive income-tax liability would receive some reduction once the plan was fully effective.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
In 1998, the average family's credit-card debt exceeded $4,000.
The 1998 Survey of Consumer Finances supports balances above $4,000 among cardholding families that carried a balance. Averaging across all families, including those without cards or balances, gives a materially lower figure, so the unqualified 'average family' wording was too broad.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Federal Reserve 1998 Survey of Consumer Finances · Federal Reserve review of consumer revolving credit
3 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The administration's tax plan was presented as a roughly $1.6 trillion ten-year reduction.
The administration's proposal and contemporaneous analyses used an approximately $1.6 trillion ten-year estimate before associated interest effects.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
Misleading
A family of four earning $50,000 would receive a $2,000, or 50%, Federal income-tax cut.
That result was possible under a selected fully phased-in administration example, but it depended on marital filing status, the children's ages, deductions and sufficient tax liability. It was not a universal outcome for every four-person family at that income.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
1 attributable claim assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Misleading
A family of four earning $50,000 would receive a $2,000, or 50%, Federal income-tax cut.
That result was possible under a selected fully phased-in administration example, but it depended on marital filing status, the children's ages, deductions and sufficient tax liability. It was not a universal outcome for every four-person family at that income.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
5 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The tax plan would reduce the number of individual income-tax brackets from five to four.
The administration proposed four rates—10%, 15%, 25% and 33%—in place of the then-current five-rate structure.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Unresolved
The tax plan would remove about 6 million people from the Federal income-tax rolls.
The figure came from distributional modeling and depended on household definitions, income, filing behavior and full implementation. The proposal plausibly produced a large reduction, but the precise count is model-dependent.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities tax analysis · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
Supported
Every person who paid Federal income tax would receive some relief under the administration's tax proposal.
The proposal reduced each statutory individual income-tax rate and expanded credits, so filers with positive income-tax liability would receive some reduction once the plan was fully effective.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The Federal share of GDP rose from about 18% to about 21% over the preceding six years.
Budget tables put Federal receipts at 18.5% of GDP in fiscal 1995 and 20.6% in fiscal 2000, which supports the rounded endpoints when 'Federal share' is read as receipts.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 economic outlook and receipts tables
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
1 attributable claim assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The budget proposed an additional $5.7 billion for military pay, housing, health care and related quality-of-life needs.
The fiscal-year 2002 blueprint included the stated aggregate for military personnel and quality-of-life priorities.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
1 attributable claim assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
NATO was the reason there had been no third world war.
NATO's collective-defence role and its contribution to European security are well documented, but assigning sole causation for a counterfactual world war cannot be verified from historical records.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: NATO: purpose and collective defence
1 attributable claim assessed
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The National Guard was the oldest component of the U.S. Armed Forces, with roots more than three and a half centuries old.
The Guard traces its official origin to the Massachusetts colonial militia organized in 1636, making the institution 364 years old in 2001 and older than the other current armed-service branches.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: National Guard history
2 attributable claims assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The administration's tax plan was presented as a roughly $1.6 trillion ten-year reduction.
The administration's proposal and contemporaneous analyses used an approximately $1.6 trillion ten-year estimate before associated interest effects.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
A family of four earning $50,000 would receive a $2,000, or 50%, Federal income-tax cut.
That result was possible under a selected fully phased-in administration example, but it depended on marital filing status, the children's ages, deductions and sufficient tax liability. It was not a universal outcome for every four-person family at that income.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
1 attributable claim assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
U.S. energy consumption exceeded domestic production, with demand growing faster than supply.
EIA's historical totals show U.S. consumption exceeded domestic production throughout this period, supporting the described supply-demand gap.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: U.S. Energy Information Administration historical energy data
2 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Misleading
A typical family with two children would save $1,600 each year under the tax plan.
The $1,600 example required a married couple with two children and sufficient tax liability after full phase-in. Many families received less, making 'typical' too broad.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities tax analysis
Supported
Lower-income taxpayers would receive the largest percentage reduction in income-tax liability under the plan.
The new 10% bracket and expanded credits could produce the largest percentage reduction in income-tax liability at the bottom, even though high-income households received larger dollar reductions.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
2 attributable claims assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The administration's tax plan was presented as a roughly $1.6 trillion ten-year reduction.
The administration's proposal and contemporaneous analyses used an approximately $1.6 trillion ten-year estimate before associated interest effects.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Supported
The reading proposal would add $5 billion over five years and roughly triple Federal reading spending.
The administration's education proposal and budget blueprint used that five-year amount and described a near-tripling from the prior baseline.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
2 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The Federal Government would have a $5.6 trillion surplus over the following ten years.
CBO's January 2001 baseline projected a $5.6 trillion cumulative surplus, but it was a conditional ten-year forecast. Actual 2002-2011 results were a cumulative deficit after policy and economic changes.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
$2.6 trillion of the projected surplus would be reserved only for Social Security.
The figure reflected projected Social Security cash surpluses, but those balances were still exchanged for Treasury securities and financed other current government activity. 'Only' obscured the trust-fund accounting mechanism.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · 2001 Social Security Trustees Report
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
3 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The Federal Government would have a $5.6 trillion surplus over the following ten years.
CBO's January 2001 baseline projected a $5.6 trillion cumulative surplus, but it was a conditional ten-year forecast. Actual 2002-2011 results were a cumulative deficit after policy and economic changes.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed tax reduction amounted to roughly one-quarter of the projected ten-year surplus.
A $1.6 trillion tax plan was approximately one-quarter of the $5.6 trillion baseline surplus projection, allowing for the plan's presentation and rounding.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CBO comparison with the January 2001 baseline
Misleading
A typical family with two children would save $1,600 each year under the tax plan.
The $1,600 example required a married couple with two children and sufficient tax liability after full phase-in. Many families received less, making 'typical' too broad.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities tax analysis
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
17 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The proposed budget increased Social Security, Medicare and other entitlement spending by $81 billion for the next fiscal year.
The administration's fiscal-year 2002 budget blueprint showed the stated year-over-year entitlement increase.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was 4%, above the expected rate of inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The reading proposal would add $5 billion over five years and roughly triple Federal reading spending.
The administration's education proposal and budget blueprint used that five-year amount and described a near-tripling from the prior baseline.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
More than 50 million Americans had a disability.
The Census Bureau estimated 52.6 million people had some level of disability in 1997, supporting the rounded claim.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Census Bureau disability report
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That result depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed, so the claim is best treated as a forecast rather than an established outcome.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
False
Government spending had risen 8% in the preceding year.
Total Federal outlays rose by about 5% from fiscal 1999 to fiscal 2000. An approximately 8% figure could be produced for narrower discretionary measures, but Bush said Government spending without that qualification.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
A typical family with two children would save $1,600 each year under the tax plan.
The $1,600 example required a married couple with two children and sufficient tax liability after the plan was fully phased in; many families received less, making 'typical' too broad.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities tax analysis
Misleading
A waitress supporting two children on $25,000 could lose nearly half of every additional dollar to taxes.
The illustration combined Federal income tax, payroll tax, state tax and the phaseout of the earned-income credit. It described a possible marginal-rate example, not nearly 50% in Federal income tax as the surrounding tax-rate argument could suggest.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Supported
The economic expansion that began almost ten years earlier was faltering.
Growth had slowed sharply by late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001, shortly after the address.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The first baby boomers would begin claiming Social Security retirement benefits in seven years.
People born in 1946 first became eligible for reduced retirement benefits at age 62 in 2008.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Social Security Administration worker-beneficiary history
Misleading
Social Security offered workers a return of less than 2% on their payroll contributions.
Estimated internal rates of return varied substantially by birth cohort, earnings, household type, longevity and whether disability and survivor insurance were counted. The single figure concealed those choices.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: 2001 Social Security Trustees Report
Supported
The budget proposal roughly tripled Federal character-education funding.
The budget blueprint proposed $25 million for character education, approximately three times the prior level.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
$2.6 trillion of the projected surplus would be reserved only for Social Security.
The figure reflected projected Social Security cash surpluses, but those balances were still exchanged for Treasury securities and financed other current government activity. 'Only' obscured the trust-fund accounting mechanism.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · 2001 Social Security Trustees Report
Supported
The budget plan retained about $1 trillion as a contingency or reserve for additional needs.
The fiscal-year 2002 blueprint allocated approximately $1 trillion of the projected ten-year surplus for contingencies and additional priorities.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
The budget proposed an additional $5.7 billion for military pay, housing, health care and related quality-of-life needs.
The fiscal-year 2002 blueprint included the stated aggregate for military personnel and quality-of-life priorities.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
U.S. energy consumption exceeded domestic production, with demand growing faster than supply.
EIA's historical totals show U.S. consumption exceeded domestic production throughout this period, supporting the described supply-demand gap.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: U.S. Energy Information Administration historical energy data
15 attributable claims assessed
6 indexed spoken records · 6 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Misleading
$2.6 trillion of the projected surplus would be reserved only for Social Security.
The figure reflected projected Social Security cash surpluses, but those balances were still exchanged for Treasury securities and financed other current government activity. 'Only' obscured the trust-fund accounting mechanism.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
- Context
- Remarks in Omaha, Nebraska ↗
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · 2001 Social Security Trustees Report
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
- Context
- Remarks in Omaha, Nebraska ↗
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
- Context
- Remarks in Omaha, Nebraska ↗
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
- Context
- Remarks in Omaha, Nebraska ↗
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The tax proposal would reduce the top individual income-tax rate from 39.6% to 33%.
Those were the statutory top rate and the administration's proposed fully phased-in top rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
- Context
- Remarks in Omaha, Nebraska ↗
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
- Context
- Remarks in Omaha, Nebraska ↗
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The tax proposal would reduce the top individual income-tax rate from 39.6% to 33%.
Those were the statutory top rate and the administration's proposed fully phased-in top rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Misleading
$2.6 trillion of the projected surplus would be reserved only for Social Security.
The figure reflected projected Social Security cash surpluses, but those balances were still exchanged for Treasury securities and financed other current government activity. 'Only' obscured the trust-fund accounting mechanism.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · 2001 Social Security Trustees Report
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
A low-income working parent could lose nearly half of each additional dollar to taxes.
The illustration combined income and payroll taxes, state tax and the earned-income-credit phaseout. It was a possible total marginal-rate example, not a general Federal income-tax rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
2001-03
March, 2001
Economic, tax, foreign-policy and public-event records have completed paragraph-by-paragraph claim review.
31calendar days71spoken records
Transcript status: 71 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending.
Supported74False1Misleading34Unresolved31
10 attributable claims assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
A typical family with two children would save $1,600 each year under the tax plan.
The $1,600 example required a married couple with two children and sufficient tax liability after full phase-in. Many families received less, making 'typical' too broad.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities tax analysis
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Misleading
$2.6 trillion of the projected surplus would be reserved only for Social Security.
The figure reflected projected Social Security cash surpluses, but those balances were still exchanged for Treasury securities and financed other current government activity. 'Only' obscured the trust-fund accounting mechanism.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · 2001 Social Security Trustees Report
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Unresolved
The administration would double the number of people served by community health centers.
This was a multi-year program target. It was not an accomplished fact during the first 100 days, and its eventual result depended on appropriations and implementation.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal policy was on course to double the National Institutes of Health budget over five years.
NIH appropriations rose from roughly $13.6 billion in 1998 to about $27.1 billion in 2003, achieving the bipartisan five-year doubling path.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: NIH budget history
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
12 attributable claims assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The budget plan retained about $1 trillion as a contingency or reserve for additional needs.
The fiscal-year 2002 blueprint allocated approximately $1 trillion of the projected ten-year surplus for contingencies and additional priorities.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
A low-income working parent could lose nearly half of each additional dollar to taxes.
The illustration combined income and payroll taxes, state tax and the earned-income-credit phaseout. It was a possible total marginal-rate example, not a general Federal income-tax rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
False
California had more than 700,000 Latino-owned small businesses.
The Census Bureau counted about 336,400 Hispanic-owned firms in California in 1997, less than half the stated figure. The national total was about 1.2 million, suggesting the claim may have conflated state and national figures.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Census Bureau: 1997 Survey of Minority-Owned Business Enterprises
Misleading
Agriculture represented 13% of the U.S. economy.
USDA estimated the broader food-and-fiber system at about 12.6% of GDP in 2000, while farming itself contributed under 1%. The figure is defensible only with the broader supply-chain definition that Bush did not state.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: USDA Economic Research Service food-and-fiber indicators
Supported
Americans represented about 4% of the world's population.
World Bank population series put the U.S. share a little above 4% around 2001, supporting the rounded statement.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: World Bank population data
Supported
The number of U.S. farms operated by women was at a record high.
Census of Agriculture series show the number and share of women principal farm operators rising to then-record levels across the 1990s and into 2002.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: USDA Census of Agriculture: women principal operators
Supported
Ann Veneman was the first woman to serve as U.S. Secretary of Agriculture.
USDA's official biographical record identifies Veneman as the first woman to hold the office.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: USDA biography of Ann M. Veneman
5 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The budget plan retained about $1 trillion as a contingency or reserve for additional needs.
The fiscal-year 2002 blueprint allocated approximately $1 trillion of the projected ten-year surplus for contingencies and additional priorities.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
A typical family with two children would save $1,600 each year under the tax plan.
The $1,600 example required a married couple with two children and sufficient tax liability after full phase-in. Many families received less, making 'typical' too broad.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities tax analysis
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
The Nisqually earthquake caused roughly a billion dollars or more in damage.
USGS's early assessment placed damage at about $2 billion, supporting Bush's lower-bound wording.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: USGS Nisqually earthquake fact sheet
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
3 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
5 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The budget plan retained about $1 trillion as a contingency or reserve for additional needs.
The fiscal-year 2002 blueprint allocated approximately $1 trillion of the projected ten-year surplus for contingencies and additional priorities.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
9 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
A low-income working parent could lose nearly half of each additional dollar to taxes.
The illustration combined income and payroll taxes, state tax and the earned-income-credit phaseout. It was a possible total marginal-rate example, not a general Federal income-tax rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Supported
The tax proposal would reduce the top individual income-tax rate from 39.6% to 33%.
Those were the statutory top rate and the administration's proposed fully phased-in top rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
1 attributable claim assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
5 attributable claims assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
A low-income working parent could lose nearly half of each additional dollar to taxes.
The illustration combined income and payroll taxes, state tax and the earned-income-credit phaseout. It was a possible total marginal-rate example, not a general Federal income-tax rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
4 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
10 attributable claims assessed
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The budget plan retained about $1 trillion as a contingency or reserve for additional needs.
The fiscal-year 2002 blueprint allocated approximately $1 trillion of the projected ten-year surplus for contingencies and additional priorities.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The tax proposal would reduce the top individual income-tax rate from 39.6% to 33%.
Those were the statutory top rate and the administration's proposed fully phased-in top rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
Small businesses created 75% of new American jobs.
Small firms were major job creators, but the share varies with the years, firm-size cutoff and whether gross or net job creation is measured. The unqualified 75% figure was not a stable national statistic.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
Small businesses produced about 51% of private-sector output.
SBA estimates around the period placed small firms near half of private-sector output; the claim correctly referred to the private sector, not total GDP.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Unresolved
The tax plan would put about $40 billion in cash into the economy in 2001.
The amount depended on enactment timing, withholding changes, advance refunds and behavioral assumptions. It was a policy estimate, not an observed result when stated.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Unresolved
About 44 million Americans claimed Irish ancestry.
The figure was a common broad ancestry estimate, but census counts vary depending on whether single or multiple ancestry responses and Scots-Irish identification are included.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Census Bureau ancestry data
2 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
Supported
Every person who paid Federal income tax would receive some relief under the administration's tax proposal.
The proposal reduced each statutory individual income-tax rate and expanded credits, so filers with positive income-tax liability would receive some reduction once the plan was fully effective.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
7 attributable claims assessed
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The tax proposal would reduce the top individual income-tax rate from 39.6% to 33%.
Those were the statutory top rate and the administration's proposed fully phased-in top rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
Social Security was projected to begin paying more in benefits than it collected in payroll taxes around 2016.
The 2001 Trustees Report projected cash-flow deficits beginning in the late 2010s under intermediate assumptions; the cited year was within the then-current forecast range.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: 2001 Social Security Trustees Report
Supported
No new major petroleum refinery had been built in the United States for roughly 25 years.
No new large grassroots refinery had begun operating since the 1970s, although existing refineries had expanded and smaller facilities complicate the literal wording.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: EIA Annual Energy Review data collection
6 attributable claims assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The tax proposal would reduce the top individual income-tax rate from 39.6% to 33%.
Those were the statutory top rate and the administration's proposed fully phased-in top rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
9 attributable claims assessed
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Misleading
$2.6 trillion of the projected surplus would be reserved only for Social Security.
The figure reflected projected Social Security cash surpluses, but those balances were still exchanged for Treasury securities and financed other current government activity. 'Only' obscured the trust-fund accounting mechanism.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · 2001 Social Security Trustees Report
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The budget plan retained about $1 trillion as a contingency or reserve for additional needs.
The fiscal-year 2002 blueprint allocated approximately $1 trillion of the projected ten-year surplus for contingencies and additional priorities.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Lower-income taxpayers would receive the largest percentage reduction in income-tax liability under the plan.
The new 10% bracket and expanded credits could produce the largest percentage reduction in income-tax liability at the bottom, even though high-income households received larger dollar reductions.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Unresolved
The administration would double the number of people served by community health centers.
This was a multi-year program target. It was not an accomplished fact during the first 100 days, and its eventual result depended on appropriations and implementation.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal policy was on course to double the National Institutes of Health budget over five years.
NIH appropriations rose from roughly $13.6 billion in 1998 to about $27.1 billion in 2003, achieving the bipartisan five-year doubling path.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: NIH budget history
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
10 attributable claims assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The budget plan retained about $1 trillion as a contingency or reserve for additional needs.
The fiscal-year 2002 blueprint allocated approximately $1 trillion of the projected ten-year surplus for contingencies and additional priorities.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The tax proposal would reduce the top individual income-tax rate from 39.6% to 33%.
Those were the statutory top rate and the administration's proposed fully phased-in top rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Unresolved
The tax plan would put about $40 billion in cash into the economy in 2001.
The amount depended on enactment timing, withholding changes, advance refunds and behavioral assumptions. It was a policy estimate, not an observed result when stated.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
Federal policy was on course to double the National Institutes of Health budget over five years.
NIH appropriations rose from roughly $13.6 billion in 1998 to about $27.1 billion in 2003, achieving the bipartisan five-year doubling path.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: NIH budget history
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
Misleading
John Paul II was the first modern pope to enter a synagogue or visit an Islamic country.
John Paul II's 1986 visit to Rome's main synagogue was a papal first. But the Vatican records that he had already visited Muslim-majority Morocco in 1985, and earlier popes also visited predominantly Muslim countries, so the second half of Bush's compound statement was wrong.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Vatican chronology of John Paul II's 1986 synagogue visit · Vatican record of John Paul II's 1985 visit to Morocco
9 attributable claims assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Unresolved
The tax plan would put about $40 billion in cash into the economy in 2001.
The amount depended on enactment timing, withholding changes, advance refunds and behavioral assumptions. It was a policy estimate, not an observed result when stated.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Unresolved
The administration would double the number of people served by community health centers.
This was a multi-year program target. It was not an accomplished fact during the first 100 days, and its eventual result depended on appropriations and implementation.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal policy was on course to double the National Institutes of Health budget over five years.
NIH appropriations rose from roughly $13.6 billion in 1998 to about $27.1 billion in 2003, achieving the bipartisan five-year doubling path.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: NIH budget history
Supported
The administration's tax plan was presented as a roughly $1.6 trillion ten-year reduction.
The administration's proposal and contemporaneous analyses used an approximately $1.6 trillion ten-year estimate before associated interest effects.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Supported
Greece proclaimed its independence about 180 years earlier.
The Greek war of independence began in 1821; the statement was made in 2001, so the rounded interval is correct.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: U.S. State Department history of Greece
2 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Misleading
$2.6 trillion of the projected surplus would be reserved only for Social Security.
The figure reflected projected Social Security cash surpluses, but those balances were still exchanged for Treasury securities and financed other current government activity. 'Only' obscured the trust-fund accounting mechanism.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · 2001 Social Security Trustees Report
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
12 attributable claims assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Unresolved
The tax plan would put about $40 billion in cash into the economy in 2001.
The amount depended on enactment timing, withholding changes, advance refunds and behavioral assumptions. It was a policy estimate, not an observed result when stated.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The budget plan retained about $1 trillion as a contingency or reserve for additional needs.
The fiscal-year 2002 blueprint allocated approximately $1 trillion of the projected ten-year surplus for contingencies and additional priorities.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The tax proposal would reduce the top individual income-tax rate from 39.6% to 33%.
Those were the statutory top rate and the administration's proposed fully phased-in top rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
8 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The Federal Government would have a $5.6 trillion surplus over the following ten years.
CBO's January 2001 baseline projected a $5.6 trillion cumulative surplus, but it was a conditional ten-year forecast. Actual 2002-2011 results were a cumulative deficit after policy and economic changes.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
Small businesses created 75% of new American jobs.
Small firms were major job creators, but the share varies with the years, firm-size cutoff and whether gross or net job creation is measured. The unqualified 75% figure was not a stable national statistic.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
The U.S. economy was slowing.
BEA data showed real GDP growth had slowed sharply in late 2000, and the NBER later dated the recession's start to March 2001. The description was consistent with the available and subsequently revised economic record.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: BEA fourth-quarter 2000 GDP estimate · NBER business-cycle chronology
Unresolved
About 25 million families carried more than $10,000 in credit-card debt.
The Federal Reserve survey shows a substantial upper tail of revolving balances, but its published tables do not directly establish this exact number of families under a consistent definition.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Federal Reserve 1998 Survey of Consumer Finances · Federal Reserve review of consumer revolving credit
3 attributable claims assessed
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The tax proposal would reduce the top individual income-tax rate from 39.6% to 33%.
Those were the statutory top rate and the administration's proposed fully phased-in top rate.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
3 attributable claims assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
5 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The proposed 2002 budget provided more than $25 billion for children's health coverage through Medicaid and related programs.
Contemporaneous HHS budget material reported spending above that threshold for Medicaid and related children's coverage.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: HHS fiscal year 2002 budget hearing
Supported
About 30% of community health-center patients were younger than 12.
HHS budget testimony used the same patient-age share in describing community health centers, supporting the rounded figure.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: HHS fiscal year 2002 budget hearing
Supported
The budget proposed an additional $200 million for services intended to prevent child abuse and keep families together.
HHS budget testimony documents the proposed $200 million increase for the Promoting Safe and Stable Families program.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: HHS fiscal year 2002 budget hearing
Supported
The budget proposed $60 million to help older foster-care youth pay for education and vocational training.
HHS budget testimony documents the proposed education-and-training vouchers at that amount.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: HHS fiscal year 2002 budget hearing
2001-04
April 1–29, 2001
The dense run of press exchanges and policy remarks through Day 100 has completed paragraph-by-paragraph claim review.
29calendar days51spoken records
Transcript status: 51 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending.
Supported51False0Misleading10Unresolved4
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
5 attributable claims assessed
5 indexed spoken records · 5 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Unresolved
The budget would pay down $2 trillion in debt over ten years and retire all debt then available to retire.
That outcome depended on long-range surplus, interest-rate and redeemable-debt assumptions. CBO later documented how sharply the January 2001 baseline changed.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
Small businesses created 75% of new American jobs.
Small firms were major job creators, but the share varies with the years, firm-size cutoff and whether gross or net job creation is measured. The unqualified 75% figure was not a stable national statistic.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Unresolved
The tax plan would put about $40 billion in cash into the economy in 2001.
The amount depended on enactment timing, withholding changes, advance refunds and behavioral assumptions. It was a policy estimate, not an observed result when stated.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
1 attributable claim assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
China detained the 24-member crew of a U.S. surveillance aircraft after the April 1 collision.
The crew complement and detention followed the documented EP-3 collision and emergency landing on Hainan Island.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
5 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Spending that grows 8% annually doubles in roughly nine years.
The arithmetic is correct: compounding at 8% produces a doubling in approximately nine years.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Unresolved
The administration would double the number of people served by community health centers.
This was a multi-year program target. It was not an accomplished fact during the first 100 days, and its eventual result depended on appropriations and implementation.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
4 attributable claims assessed
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The administration's tax plan was presented as a roughly $1.6 trillion ten-year reduction.
The administration's proposal and contemporaneous analyses used an approximately $1.6 trillion ten-year estimate before associated interest effects.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
NIST's hypothetical Baldrige Index had outperformed the S&P 500 for seven consecutive years.
NIST's April 2001 analysis reported that the publicly traded Baldrige winners in its hypothetical index outperformed the S&P 500 in each of the seven comparison periods.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: NIST Baldrige Index analysis
Supported
Health care and education were added as Baldrige Award categories in 1999.
NIST's award history confirms that the education and health-care categories became eligible in 1999.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: NIST Baldrige Index analysis
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
4 attributable claims assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The proposed budget added roughly $1 billion for Pell Grants.
The budget blueprint proposed an increase of approximately $1 billion for Pell Grants.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
China detained the 24-member crew of a U.S. surveillance aircraft after the April 1 collision.
The crew complement and detention followed the documented EP-3 collision and emergency landing on Hainan Island.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The budget proposed $67 million for mentoring children of prisoners.
The HHS budget record documents a $67 million mentoring initiative for children of prisoners.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: HHS fiscal year 2002 budget hearing
Supported
The budget proposed $75 million for Project ChildSafe gun-lock distribution.
Contemporaneous budget testimony and the President's remarks identify the proposed $75 million program and its gun-safety-lock purpose.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: HHS fiscal year 2002 budget hearing · American Presidency Project transcript
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
7 attributable claims assessed
4 indexed spoken records · 4 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The budget proposal roughly tripled Federal character-education funding.
The budget blueprint proposed $25 million for character education, approximately three times the prior level.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
China detained the 24-member crew of a U.S. surveillance aircraft after the April 1 collision.
The crew complement and detention followed the documented EP-3 collision and emergency landing on Hainan Island.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The administration's tax plan was presented as a roughly $1.6 trillion ten-year reduction.
The administration's proposal and contemporaneous analyses used an approximately $1.6 trillion ten-year estimate before associated interest effects.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
Small businesses created 75% of new American jobs.
Small firms were major job creators, but the share varies with the years, firm-size cutoff and whether gross or net job creation is measured. The unqualified 75% figure was not a stable national statistic.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
China detained the 24-member crew of a U.S. surveillance aircraft after the April 1 collision.
The crew complement and detention followed the documented EP-3 collision and emergency landing on Hainan Island.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
4 attributable claims assessed
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The administration proposed $150 million for charter-school support.
The fiscal-year 2002 budget blueprint included a $150 million charter-school proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The tax proposal would expand education-savings-account contributions from $500 to $5,000.
The administration's proposal described that contribution-limit increase; it was a policy proposal rather than an already enacted benefit during the assessed period.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Unresolved
The Federal Government had spent about $125 billion on Title I over the preceding 25 years.
NCES tables document large Federal appropriations for disadvantaged-student programs, but the published selected-year series does not provide a directly reproducible total for Bush's exact 25-year window and program definition. The precise cumulative figure therefore remains unresolved.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
China prevented the 24-member U.S. EP-3 crew from returning home for 11 days.
The Navy's historical account records the April 1 collision and emergency landing, the detention of all 24 crewmembers, and their April 12 return.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
1 attributable claim assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
China detained the 24-member crew of a U.S. surveillance aircraft after the April 1 collision.
The crew complement and detention followed the documented EP-3 collision and emergency landing on Hainan Island.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
7 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Spending that grows 8% annually doubles in roughly nine years.
The arithmetic is correct: compounding at 8% produces a doubling in approximately nine years.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The administration's tax plan was presented as a roughly $1.6 trillion ten-year reduction.
The administration's proposal and contemporaneous analyses used an approximately $1.6 trillion ten-year estimate before associated interest effects.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
A typical family with two children would save $1,600 each year under the tax plan.
The $1,600 example required a married couple with two children and sufficient tax liability after full phase-in. Many families received less, making 'typical' too broad.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities tax analysis
Misleading
The Federal Government collected twice as much income-tax revenue as in 1981.
Nominal individual income-tax receipts were about twice the 1981 level by 2000, but population, prices and incomes had also grown. The comparison omitted inflation and economic scale.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Fiscal 2001 individual income-tax receipts equaled roughly $2 billion for each of the 535 members of Congress.
Dividing fiscal 2001 individual income-tax receipts by 535 gives about $1.9 billion per member, which supports the rounded rhetorical comparison.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: IRS fiscal year 2001 data book
1 attributable claim assessed
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The proposed Free Trade Area of the Americas covered 34 democracies, about 800 million people and roughly one-third of world economic output.
The negotiating process included 34 participating democracies, and contemporaneous population and output totals were broadly consistent with the rounded description.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: World Bank national accounts data
7 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The budget proposal roughly tripled Federal character-education funding.
The budget blueprint proposed $25 million for character education, approximately three times the prior level.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The administration proposed consolidating about $2.6 billion in teacher-training programs into state grants.
The fiscal-year 2002 blueprint proposed a consolidated teacher-quality grant at approximately that amount.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The administration's tax plan was presented as a roughly $1.6 trillion ten-year reduction.
The administration's proposal and contemporaneous analyses used an approximately $1.6 trillion ten-year estimate before associated interest effects.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
Average fourth-grade reading performance had not improved materially over the preceding eight years.
NAEP's national average fourth-grade reading score in 2000 was not significantly different from the 1992 score.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
2 attributable claims assessed
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
Trade with Mexico had roughly doubled since NAFTA took effect.
U.S. trade data show two-way goods trade with Mexico approximately doubled between 1993 and 2000 in nominal terms.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The proposed Free Trade Area of the Americas covered 34 democracies, about 800 million people and roughly one-third of world economic output.
The negotiating process included 34 participating democracies, and contemporaneous population and output totals were broadly consistent with the rounded description.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: World Bank national accounts data
3 attributable claims assessed
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
Trade with Mexico had roughly doubled since NAFTA took effect.
U.S. trade data show two-way goods trade with Mexico approximately doubled between 1993 and 2000 in nominal terms.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
The Summit of the Americas brought together the United States and 33 other democratic countries.
The State Department's summit record identifies 34 participating democracies.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Supported
Cuba was the only country in the Americas excluded from the summit for not being a democracy.
The 2001 summit included the hemisphere's 34 democratically elected governments and excluded Cuba under the summit's democracy requirement.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
4 attributable claims assessed
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The administration requested about $880 million for an Andean regional counternarcotics initiative.
The fiscal-year 2002 foreign-affairs budget included an Andean regional initiative at approximately that amount.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Department of State fiscal year 2002 budget summary
Supported
There were about 200 million U.S.-Canada border crossings a year.
Transportation data recorded about 95.8 million entries from Canada in 2000; counting crossings in both directions puts the annual total near 200 million.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: U.S. Department of Transportation border-crossing statistics
Supported
Canada was the United States' largest trading partner.
Census Bureau goods-trade totals rank Canada first in 2000, ahead of Mexico and Japan.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Census Bureau 2000 country trade totals
Supported
Canada was the largest foreign supplier of energy to the United States.
EIA historical country data show Canada was the leading source of U.S. energy imports, including major oil, natural-gas and electricity flows.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: EIA country analysis: Canada
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
10 attributable claims assessed
3 indexed spoken records · 3 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Spending that grows 8% annually doubles in roughly nine years.
The arithmetic is correct: compounding at 8% produces a doubling in approximately nine years.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The administration's tax plan was presented as a roughly $1.6 trillion ten-year reduction.
The administration's proposal and contemporaneous analyses used an approximately $1.6 trillion ten-year estimate before associated interest effects.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Supported
The budget proposal roughly tripled Federal character-education funding.
The budget blueprint proposed $25 million for character education, approximately three times the prior level.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The proposed discretionary-spending increase was about 4%, above projected inflation.
The budget blueprint proposed roughly 4% growth in discretionary budget authority; contemporaneous inflation projections were lower.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
Federal discretionary spending had risen by about 8% in the preceding fiscal year.
Historical budget tables support an approximately 8% increase for narrower discretionary measures. This assessment does not extend the figure to all government spending.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint
Supported
The administration's tax plan was presented as a roughly $1.6 trillion ten-year reduction.
The administration's proposal and contemporaneous analyses used an approximately $1.6 trillion ten-year estimate before associated interest effects.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · Center on Budget and Policy Priorities plan overview
Misleading
The administration's budget would double Medicare spending over ten years.
Projected Medicare outlays did roughly double over the budget window, but most of that increase reflected baseline enrollment and health-cost growth rather than a new discretionary increase attributable to the proposal.
- Speaker
- George W. Bush
Evidence: Fiscal year 2002 budget blueprint · CMS report on national health spending in 2001
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
1 indexed spoken record · 1 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
Transcript review complete · no assessed claim
2 indexed spoken records · 2 complete · 0 in progress · 0 pending
No Bush-participation spoken record indexed
No indexed spoken record for this date.This does not establish that no public activity occurred; it records only the boundary of the located Bush-participation transcript inventory.
All 196 indexed Bush-participation spoken records have completed paragraph-by-paragraph review, including a second pass for non-quantitative historical and event-specific statements. The assessment excludes repeated wording within the same transcript, personal anecdotes without an independently checkable public-record premise, policy preferences, predictions without a checkable factual premise and statements for which no responsible attribution could be established. A ceremonial setting does not by itself exclude a factual claim. Later source corrections or newly available records can still justify a specific revision.